Category Archives: History

Richard Baris, who runs Big Data Poll, one of three that got Election Night results right, noted something peculiar in his post-election analysis: “Trump won the largest non-white vote share for a Republican presidential candidate in 60 years…. Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area around the country, save for Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta and Philadelphia.”

Robert Barnes, an election analyst for the Washington Post, was quoted by Patrick Basham, head of Democracy Institute, as observing that in these “big cities in swing states run by Democrats … the vote even exceeded the number of registered voters.”

In an article published by the British Sunday Express on November 8, Basham expressed his astonishment at what happened late Election Eve:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, November 12, 2020:

Building on the lengthening list of oddities and abnormalities exposed by The New American writer Luis Miguel on Thursday, Matt Palumbo of the Bongino Report added three more: bellwether states that typically vote for the president but didn’t his year; bellwether counties that typically vote for the president, but didn’t this year; and Republicans reducing the Democratic Party’s majority in the House when a “blue wave” was predicted instead.

Reported Miguel:

One of the most glaring issues is the vast difference in Georgia of the number of individuals who voted for President Trump, but not for the state’s U.S. Senate race, versus the number of voters who did the equivalent for Joe Biden.

 

For the president, it was 818, meaning that of the millions of voters who cast ballots for him, only a little over 800 did not also vote for the Senate race.

 

For Biden, however, the number was 95,801 — meaning nearly 96,000 people allegedly voted for the former vice president but did not bother choosing candidates in the Senate contest.

According to Palumbo, Ohio is one of two highly reliable “bellwether states”

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Saturday, November 7, 2020:

True the Vote, a vote-monitoring organization founded by Catherine Engelbrecht in 2009, announced on Friday a $1 million fund to incentivize witnesses to vote tampering to come forward and tell their stories.

In a press release Engelbrecht said:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2020: 

In a remarkable display of candor, Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon and Robert Bauer, who served as Obama’s White House counsel, publicly discussed the Biden campaign strategy. The interview is available on YouTube here.

Among those watching was Trump’s campaign manager Nick Trainer. He took the Biden strategy and its numbers, reconstructed them, and concluded that Pennsylvania is the one state to watch Tuesday night:

Using their math alone, and reconstructing it, they’re saying that the president is currently one state short of winning the election. Using their math!

And that’s where the Trump campaign has been pouring manpower, money, and an aggressive door-to-door canvassing strategy for the past three years. And it’s about to pay off, according to Trainer:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, November 2, 2020: 

In a brief appearance on Hill.TV on Thursday, liberal activist and filmmaker Michael Moore said, “Don’t believe these polls.” He added, “The Trump voter is always being undercounted,” and explained why:

When [pollsters] actually call a real Trump voter [he] is very suspicious of the “Deep State” calling them and asking them who they are voting for.

 

It’s all fake news to them … [so] it’s not an accurate count.

The Biden advantage has to be cut in half, said Moore: “I think the safe thing to do … this is not scientific … whatever they’re saying the Biden lead is, cut it in half.… Cut it in half and you’re within the … margin of error. That’s how desperately close this [race] is.”

Moore predicted a Trump victory in 2016 which “got me no free entrances to casinos, by the way … but I wake up every morning with the assumption that Trump believes he’s going to win [in 2020], and that’s good enough for me. If he thinks he’s going to win, then I think he’s going to win.”

Biden is making the same mistakes Hillary Clinton made back in 2016, said Moore:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Sunday, November 1, 2020: 

Polling firm USC Dornsife’s Daybreak Poll added two new questions to its survey: What percentage of your social contacts do you expect to vote for each of the presidential candidates? and, Whom do you think will win the election in your state?

Without those two questions, their poll shows Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 11 points. With them, the gap is much closer. And when it comes to the Electoral College, Trump beats Biden.

Dornsife’s pollsters tested those questions in five elections — the 2016 U.S. presidential election, the 2018 U.S. midterms, the 2017 French presidential election, the 2017 Dutch Parliamentary election, and the 2018 Swedish Parliamentary election. In all five, “The social circle question predicted election outcomes better than traditional questions about voters’ own intentions,” according to the pollsters.

And responses to the state-winner question confirmed the results.

Jim Key, director of marketing and media relations for USC Dornsife, said

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Saturday, October 31, 2020:  

George Barna, the founder of the Barna Group, which specializes in studying the religious beliefs and behaviors of Americans, released on Friday the results of his latest poll: support for President Trump’s reelection is nearly unanimous among SAGE Cons — spiritually active governance-engaged conservative Christians. In 2016 support for Trump was 91 percent. Now it is 96 percent.

Bara explained why there was such an increase:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, October 29, 2020:  

The Department of Commerce announced on Thursday that the U.S. economy grew in the third quarter at an annualized rate of 33.1 percent, beating forecasters’ expectations.

When Tim Murtaugh, the communications director for President Trump’s reelection campaign, learned of the news, he pointed out the choice voters will be making next Tuesday. It’s a choice between “a Trump boom versus a Biden depression.”

The president echoed Murtaugh:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, September 24, 2020: 

According to an ABC/Washington Post poll taken among likely Florida voters last week, President Trump has jumped to a four-point lead over his Democratic opponent Joe Biden in the Sunshine State. According to the survey:

The result in Florida befits its swing-state status, with sharp differences across regions and demographic groups.

 

A challenge for Biden is his tepid 13-point lead among Hispanics in the state (using registered voters for an adequate sample size); Hillary Clinton won Florida Hispanics by 27 percentage points in 2016, yet narrowly lost the state.

On July 23, Quinnipiac University showed Biden with a commanding 13-point lead over the president, the last time Biden had a double-digit lead in Florida. An average of the last seven polls taken since September 10 show Biden with a lead of just 1.3 points, well within the polls’ margins of error.

This is increasingly important in the race for the White House, as Florida has

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, September 17, 2020:  

Rob Crilly, the Washington Examiner’s White House correspondent, viewed the Trump campaign’s seven paths to victory in the November election and learned that in each one Pennsylvania is key.

This is the state that Trump won by a scant 44,000 votes out of 6.2 million cast, a sliver strong enough to give him the victory in 2016. Crilly said the seven scenarios “push back against claims that President Trump had a limited path to victory and illustrate multiple ways he could win.”

The paths reflect several possibilities, ranging from a “blowout” win in November to a much closer win based on “Midwest strength.” But each scenario needs him to win Pennsylvania:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, September 10, 2020: 

Rasmussen’s presidential tracking poll released on Tuesday showed President Trump’s approval rating among likely black voters is at 42 percent. Among “other non-white likely voters,” Trump’s approval rating is at 56 percent. According to Pew Research, just six percent of black voters supported the president in 2016.

One can do the math:

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Wednesday, September 9, 2020:

With less than eight weeks before Election Day, each campaign is defining its final push by how it is spending its campaign funds. The Trump campaign told Fox News on Wednesday that it raised $210 million in August, its biggest month to date, but still short of the $365 million record set by the Biden campaign last month.

The strategies of the two opposing camps are totally different. The Biden campaign is tossing out its rule book — Groundbreakers: How Obama’s 2.2 Million Volunteers Transformed Campaigning in America — and instead is relying on air time almost exclusively.

Groundbreakers detailed how the Obama campaign transformed presidential campaigning through an aggressive ground game coupled with advanced information technology.

On the other hand, Trump’s campaign manager Bill Stepien is requiring every volunteer to read Groundbreakers before ringing a single doorbell or making a single phone call.

Said Stepien:

Both campaigns are raising massive amounts of money, but have very different priorities about how to spend it. In addition to advertising, President Trump’s campaign has invested heavily in a muscular field operation and ground game that will turn out our voters, while the Biden campaign is waging almost exclusively an air war.

 

We like our strategy better.

By early August, the Trump campaign had more than

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2020:  

With Wall Street extending its pre-Labor Day selloff into Monday morning, stocks are close to giving back their historic gains made in August. To some the selloff also puts President Donald Trump’s reelection chances at risk.

According to LPL financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick, the performance of the S&P 500 index in the three months leading up to the election has a nearly perfect record of predicting the election’s outcome. He says that the performance of that index has been the best predictor of presidential elections since 1984, proving 100-percent accurate — and is 87-percent accurate since the days of President Calvin Coolidge (1923-1929).

When that index is positive for those three months,

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Sunday, September 6, 2020: 

The hanging of blow dryers on trees in front of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s home on Thursday is so trivial and yet so momentous in its implications that it could affect the outcome of the election.

Hardly a single voter hasn’t seen what Monica Showalter of American Thinker called the “Blow Dryer Rebellion”: angry hairstylists hanging blow dryers on a tree. Fewer still haven’t seen the security video that has gone viral showing Queen Nancy indulging herself in a “wash and blow dry” session at a tony salon without a mask while the common folk are prohibited from doing the same.

Said Showalter: