Have nothing to do with the [evil] things that people do, things that belong to the darkness. Instead, bring them out to the light... [For] when all things are brought out into the light, then their true nature is clearly revealed...

-Ephesians 5:11-13

Tag Archives: elections

Trump Has Great Opportunity to Influence U.S. Jurisprudence

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Wednesday, February 15, 2017:

English: The United States Supreme Court, the ...

The United States Supreme Court, the highest court in the United States, in 2010.

In his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention after becoming the Republican nominee for president, then-candidate Donald Trump reiterated the importance of the replacement of deceased Supreme Court Judge Antonin Scalia, stating, “The replacement of our beloved Justice Scalia will be a person of similar views, principles and judicial philosophies. Very important. This will be one of the most important issues decided by this election.”

Following Trump’s election victory in November, liberals voiced shock and consternation, especially in light of the Republican Party maintaining its majority in the branch of the legislature tasked with confirming Scalia’s replacement — the Senate. Nina Totenberg of National Public Radio declared that

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Trump Names Son-in-law as Advisor; Media Raises Nepotism Issues

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Tuesday, January 10, 2017: 

Jared Kushner of the New York Observer.

Jared Kushner

President-elect Donald Trump named his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, as a senior advisor in his administration on Monday:

Jared has been a tremendous asset and trusted advisor throughout the campaign and transition and I am proud to have him in a key leadership role in my administration.

 

He has been incredibly successful in both business and politics. He will be an invaluable member of my own team as I set and execute an ambitious agenda, putting the American people first.

The anti-Trump media jumped at the chance to question Trump’s decision, claiming that it violated anti-nepotism rules put in place after President John F. Kennedy named his brother, Robert Kennedy, as attorney general.

Jamie Gorelick, an attorney advising Trump and Kushner on the matter, said there’s little to be concerned about:

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Chuck Schumer Seeks “Common Ground” With Trump

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, November 21, 2016:  

Senator Charles Schumer

Senator Charles Schumer

During a press interview at his office on Friday, New York Democratic Senator Charles Schumer said that he had spoken two or three times with President-elect Donald Trump: “He’s called. He’s friendly. The word is that he thinks he can work with me, but we’ll see. The jury’s [still] out.”

Schumer, just reelected for his fourth term as senator, will become the Senate minority leader in the 115th Congress as Harry Reid, the present Senate minority leader, is retiring. The Wall Street Journal characterized the interview as an effort by Schumer to seek “common ground” with Trump. Other members of the press weren’t so charitable.

Schumer was feisty,

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Three Election Models Pick Trump to Win on Tuesday

English: Donald Trump at a press conference an...

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, November 7, 2016:  

Poll-watching junkies are having a field day. There is one poll or another publishing its results on an almost hourly basis. As this is being written on noon Sunday, for instance, Investors Business Daily (IBD), which touts its survey as “the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections,” has Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton by one point. The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times’ “Daybreak” poll shows Trump ahead of Clinton by five points.

Nate Silver, in his FiveThirtyEight 2016 Election Forecast, has Clinton’s chance of winning at 64.7 percent versus Trump’s 35.3 percent. Silver predicts Clinton will win 48.4 percent of the popular vote (versus Trump’s 45.5 percent, which will give her 291 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 246.

In its running summary of other polls, Real Clear Politics shows Clinton up by 1.8 percent over Trump in the popular vote, while in the Electoral College it’s Clinton with 216 and Trump with 164, leaving 158 votes as “toss ups.”

There are at least two other prognosticators who don’t rely on polls at all, and they are predicting Trump will win on Tuesday. The first was explained by Tyler Durden at ZeroHedge back in January when he said that the stock market would predict November’s winner:

This relationship occurs because the stock market reflects the economic outlook in the weeks leading up to the election. A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chances of the incumbent party’s re-election.

 

Therefore, your time might be better spent from August through October watching the stock market rather than the debates if you want to know who will be President for the next four years.

Right on cue the stock market has declined nine days in a row (through last Friday), the first time that has happened since 1980. But more importantly is how it has behaved since Monday, August 1. The S&P 500 Index has declined by 4.5 percent which, according to Durden, translates into an 86 percent chance of Trump’s winning on Tuesday.

And then there’s the professor from Stony Brook University, Helmut Norpoth, and his “Primary Model”. Writes Norpoth on his website:

Winning early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. Trump won the Republican primaries in both New Hampshire and South Carolina, while Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the Democratic primaries in those states….

 

For the record the Primary Model … has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996….

 

For elections from 1912 to 2012 the Primary Model [has retroactively picked] the winner … every time except in 1960.

 

Accordingly, Norpoth gives Trump an 87 percent chance of winning Tuesday’s election.

There’s also his “pendulum” model:

What favors the GOP in 2016 as well … is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year….

 

Donald Trump is predicted to defeat Hillary Clinton by 52.5 percent to 47.5 percent.

In the “for what it’s worth” category, as this is being written, futures for Monday’s open are also turning negative. If the market closes down again on Monday, the 10th day in a row, it will only add validity to both Durden’s and Norpoth’s prediction: Trump will win on Tuesday.

Also, Professor Norpoth has such confidence in his models that he is using his own money to bet on Trump to win.

The S&P 500 is Picking Trump to Win

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Monday, November 7, 2016:

Back in January, Tyler Durden (a pseudonym), writing at ZeroHedge, said one would be far better off watching the markets than the debates if one wanted to know who the next president would be:

This relationship occurs because the stock market reflects the economic outlook in the weeks leading up to the election. A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chances of the incumbent party’s re-election.

 

Therefore, your time might be better spent from August through October watching the stock market rather than the debates if you want to know who will be President for the next four years.

Right on cue, the stock market has declined nine days in a row (through last Friday), the first time that has happened since 1980. But more importantly

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Dutch Pol Geert Wilders Refuses to Attend His Trial; Says It’s “Political”

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, October 31, 2016:

Geert Wilders, the Dutch politician best known for his criticism of Islam, won’t attend his own trial that begins Monday. He asserted,

Monday, the trial against freedom of speech begins … against a politician who says what the politically correct elite does not want to hear.

 

This trial is a political trial, in which I refuse to cooperate.

The trial concerns two public utterances that he made back in 2014, including one where he spoke to political supporters at The Hague. He asked them if they wanted fewer Moroccans in the country, and they responded “Fewer! Fewer! Fewer!” Wilders responded, “Well, we’ll take care of it, then.”

Some 6,400 complaints were filed with local police, mostly from Moroccans living in the country. The court sorted through them and found 35 that were valid to bring charges of discrimination against Wilders.

Wilders was also charged in 2011 with criminally insulting Islam and inciting hatred as a result. Those charges stemmed from articles that he had penned and statements that he made calling for a ban on the Koran, warning against an “Islamic invasion” of his country and the coming “tsunami of Islamization.” He described Islam as fascist, Moroccan youths as instigators of violence, and compared the Koran to Hitler’s Mein Kampf.

He authored the script for a 2004 film entitled Fitna, a 17-minute-long argument that Islam encourages acts of terrorism, anti-semitism, violence against women, subjugation of infidels, and sanctions against homosexuals. Wilders explained his intentions, saying that the film (which is free on the Internet) was “a call to shake off the creeping tyranny of Islamisation.”

When he was acquitted of all charges in that trial, Wilders called it victory not only for himself but for freedom of speech.

The present trial is a variation on the same theme: Wilders is being charged with discrimination against a group, not a religion, which in the Netherlands is considered a hate crime. Frans Zonneveld, a spokesman for the prosecution, explained the difference:

Islam is an idea, a religion, [and] according to the public prosecution service, you have a lot of room to criticize ideas. But when it comes to population groups [Moroccans make up about two percent of the 17 million citizens in the Netherlands], it’s a whole different matter. His remarks touched the very being of this population group.

 

You cannot choose to be a part of a population group or not; it’s a group that’s decided by birth, so it’s a whole different matter.

Wilders responded: “It is a travesty that I have to stand trial because I spoke about fewer Moroccans [in the Netherlands]. It is my right and duty as a politician to speak about the problems in our country.”

In the Netherlands, Wilders does not have the guarantees provided Americans under the Bill of Rights to the Constitution, specifically those spelled out by the First Amendment: “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”  Instead he is faced with a greater likelihood this time around of going to jail, or at least paying a fine or doing some community service, for his “crime.” However, his Freedom Party will face the Netherlands’ ruling party in elections in March. At present the race is too close to call. A conviction of Wilders in this case could work to his party’s advantage, as an increasing number of Dutch citizens are becoming aware of his warnings and potential threats to their culture.

Mainstream Media’s Increasingly Blatant Liberal Bias May Backfire in Elections

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, September 19, 2016:  

FOX Business Network's Mix/Minus and IFB board

FOX Business Network’s Mix/Minus and IFB board

Just three days after Pew Research reported that nearly two-thirds of Americans think the news stories they read, hear, and watch are biased, along came Gallup with a similar conclusion.

Pew found that 63 percent of its respondents doubted the veracity and neutrality of the stories they get from the mainstream media, a full 10-percent decline just since 2007. Pew also reported that the mainstream media finds itself in increasing financial difficulty owing not only to increasing distrust by its readers but competition from Internet-based sources.

For instance, newspaper advertising dropped by

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The Potomac Two-Step: How McCain Has Stayed in Office for 34 Years

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Wednesday, August 31, 2016:  

Cover of "Clear and Present Danger (Speci...

It was Tom Clancy who first brought the term “the old Potomac two-step” to the public’s attention in 1990 with the publication of Clear and Present Danger. The book was turned into a movie four years later. The relevant dialogue is:

The President: “You’ll take the blame. Cutter and Ritter will take some too, but it won’t amount to much, they’ll get a slap on the wrist. Then $20,000 an hour on the lecture circuit. The rest of the blame will fall on Greer. Oh yeah, you’ll take him down with you. You’ll destroy his reputation. But that’s as far as it will go. The old Potomac two-step, Jack.”

 

Jack Ryan: “I’m sorry, Mr. President, I don’t dance.”

John McCain, who began his political career in 1982 in Arizona after moving there following his retirement from the Navy, does dance. So well does he dance, in fact, that

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Election Pollsters Have One More Thing to Worry About: New Gun Owners

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Wednesday, August 10, 2016: 

English: A sign in rural United States adverti...

The difference between pollsters like Rasmussen and prognosticators like Nate Silver of Five Thirty Eight is like the difference between lightning and a lightning bug. Polling is tricky enough. Prognosticating is a whole other matter.

Rasmussen (and its peers) must develop the questions, determine whom to ask, decide when to call (weekdays, weekends, dinner time, etc.), and then confirm that they’re talking to the right person. They have to take into account that sometimes people will give wrong answers, or hide behind their answers because they have opinions that aren’t mainstream. Once the poll is taken, they must determine just how variable – how reliable – the results really are. That explains part of the plus or minus calculation included in them.

Silver (and his peers) build models based on past experience. It’s vastly more complicated

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Could Increase in Gun Ownership Impact the Election?

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Tuesday, August 9, 2016: 

Glock model 22 (.40 S&W) in the new olive drab...

Glock model 22 (.40 S&W) in the new olive drab frame (with magazine)

The latest study by John Lott’s Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) raised an interesting question: Could the enormous increase in gun ownership and the attendant increase in the issuance of concealed carry permits have an impact on the presidential election in November?

The increase has been astounding, according to Lott:

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Why Voting for Donald Trump Is a Morally Good Choice

By Wayne Gruden

Some of my Christian friends tell me they can’t in good conscience vote for Donald Trump because, when faced with a choice between “the lesser of two evils,” the morally right thing is to choose neither one. They recommend voting for a third-party or write-in candidate.

As a professor who has taught Christian ethics for 39 years, I think their analysis is incorrect.

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The Donald Pouts, Doesn’t Need Koch Brothers’ Money

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Monday, August 1, 2016:  

Donald Trump in February 2009

On Saturday Donald Trump pouted on Twitter: “I turned down a meeting with Charles and David Koch. Much better for them to meet with the puppets of politics, they will do much better.”

It’s likely to turn out that The Donald will enjoy a coattail effect from Koch’s political advertising without appearing to be beholden to them.

The teapot tempest that the mainstream media tried to embellish (the Washington Post said that the Koch Brothers “refused to help Trump,” adding that Republican donors in the Koch Brothers’ Freedom Partners Chamber of Commerce “are rebelling against” him) may actually turn to Trump’s advantage.

It all started when The Donald held a town hall meeting in Colorado Springs (where the Koch Brothers were holding their biannual meeting of well-to-do Republican donors at the Broadmoor Hotel) on Friday, with an evening presentation in Denver, but wasn’t invited to drop by the hotel in between for a quick chat. The Brothers Koch countered that Trump hadn’t even been invited so how could he turn down their invitation?

No matter. Charles Koch made clear that he and his brother David had other plans for the millions they hoped to raise anyway. Originally (that is to say, before Donald began getting traction during the Republican primaries) the network planned to raise nearly $900 million, with most of it to be directed at the presidential campaign. Now, however, that number has been cut back to $750 million, and only a third of it will be spent on political advertising. Charles made that clear Saturday night in his opening remarks to the 400 well-heeled who gathered at the Broadmoor. Koch said:

We have an uphill battle … the majority of Americans are focused on … an increasingly stagnant, two-tiered society, with the rich and politically-connected doing well and most everybody else stuck down below.

 

People have lost their optimism … they’re frustrated and disillusioned … they’re looking for answers.

Koch made it clear that neither Trump nor Clinton would be the ones to provide them:

Unfortunately [people are] looking in the wrong places. They’re looking to politicians. To me, the answers they’re getting are frightening because these answers will make matters worse … some of these solutions … would not just make them a little worse, but much worse….

 

The good news is that we have built this network for just such a condition. That puts us in a position to make progress in spite of the current political situation where, in some cases, we don’t really have good options.

Message: we’re going to spend your money on defending Republican Senate seats while hoping to extend the party’s present 54-46 advantage. Mark Holden, general counsel and senior vice president of Koch Industries, served as chair for the gala affair and told reporters that the network had “no intention to go after Donald Trump” and would only run ads critical of Clinton if they would help Republican senatorial candidates in critical states with close races.

RealClearPolitics shows Republicans ahead in most states, but, in many cases, by very narrow margins. In New Hampshire, incumbent Senator Ayotte holds just a 0.6 percent polling advantage over her rival, while Pennsylvania Republican Senator Pat Toomey holds just a 0.3 percent advantage over his Democrat opponent. Even in Florida Senator Marco Rubio is far from a shoo-in, leading his Democrat opponent by only 4.4 percentage points. At the moment RCP is calling the Democrats to gain at least one seat in November, dropping the Republican advantage to 53-47.

The Kochs have already contracted to spend $40 million of their donors’ money (each donor had to have the ability and make a promise to donate a minimum of $100,000 to the Koch’s network before being invited to the weekend fete at the Broadmoor) for political ads in five critical states: Nevada, Indiana, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Ohio and they’re considering helping Rubio in Florida if he needs it.

After pouting on Twitter that he doesn’t need the Koch’s money, Trump announced a dollar-for-dollar match campaign fund drive over the weekend. He emailed his list: “Our fundraising department can barely keep up. I am going to personally match your donation today, and every day you donate up to midnight [July 31], up to $2 million.”

As suggested, Trump may just be able to have his cake and eat it too: he can raise plenty of money on his own, thank you very much, and still take advantage of any anti-Clinton ads the Koch Brothers decide to run in close Senate races. In the meantime he maintains his image as the “independent” candidate.


Sources:

The Wall Street Journal: Koch Brothers’ Network of Donors Meets Without Donald Trump

CNBC.com: Donald Trump says fundraising ‘crushed’ goals, rejects money from Koch brothers

The Washington Post: Koch network refusing to help Trump

Charles Koch’s Vision for a Brighter Future – opening remarks Saturday night

RealClearPolitics: Dems to pick up one seat in Senate as of 7/31/2016

RealClearPolitics: Senate No Toss Ups 2016

Venezuela’s President Deliberately Stalling Recall Referendum

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, July 28, 2016: 

Português: Brasília - O chanceler da Venezuela...

Nicolas Maduro

If Venezuela’s Marxist dictator, President Nicolas Maduro, can remain in power until January 10, 2017, then he will remain the country’s leader for the foreseeable future. Even if elections are then held and oust the president, Maduro will be replaced by his hand-picked second-in-command and continue the socialist “revolution” that is turning Venezuela back into a banana republic.

That’s why he is doing everything he can to stall a recall referendum that would lead to his recall before then. Accordingly he is

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Iowa Senator Joni Ernst on Trump’s VP Short List

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Tuesday, July 5, 2016:  

English: Official portrait of Iowa State Senat...

Senator Joni Ernst from Iowa

Iowa Republican Senator Joni Ernst, one of just a very few being currently vetted for Donald Trump’s running mate for vice president, met with The Donald on Monday. Also in attendance were Paul Manafort, Trump’s chief campaign strategist, and Reince Priebus, chairman of the Republican National Committee (RNC). Following the meeting, Ernst told reporters:

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Trump’s Momentum Continues to Build While Hillary Struggles with Bernie

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Monday, May 23, 2016:

English: This photo depicts Donald Trump's sta...

This photo depicts Donald Trump’s star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame.

Donald Trump had, simply put, an amazing week. With two billionaires already endorsing him (T. Boone Pickens and Sheldon Adelson), he added several more, including one with enormous credibility in Republican circles. To top it off he was endorsed by the NRA at its annual convention Friday night even before he got to the podium.

Hillary Clinton, on the other hand,

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Endorsements of Trump by Billionaires May Open Other GOP Wallets

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, May 16, 2016:  

English: Photo of Sheldon Adelson, chairman of...

Sheldon Adelson, chairman of Las Vegas Sands and Hong Kong-listed subsidiary Sands China.

Last week T. Boone Pickens, chairman of hedge fund BP Capital Management and with a personal net worth estimated at about a billion dollars, endorsed Donald Trump and offered to host some fundraisers for him.

The big news came on Friday when Sheldon Adelson (shown), chairman and CEO of the Las Vegas Sands Corporation and with a personal net worth estimated at more than $25 billion, published his endorsement of Donald Trump in the Washington Post. That was followed up by revelations from insiders to the New York Times that he will put his money where his mouth is, to the tune of $100 million. That’s an amount equal to the total Adelson contributed to 34 Republican campaigns in 2012, only this year he will be focusing his largesse almost exclusively on getting Trump elected in November.

Adelson explained his reasoning and urged other Republicans to get on board as well:

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Mexico Now Joining Anti-Trump Forces

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Monday, March 21, 2016:  

Official Seal of the Government of the United ...

Official Seal of the Government of the United Mexican States (Mexico) (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Officially Mexico says it honors the sovereignty of the United States and has no intention of interfering with the presidential elections in November. Privately, however, Mexican diplomats are gearing up to help Mexican immigrants obtain U.S. citizenship, and then urging them to vote in November. Adrian Sosa, a spokesman for the Mexican consulate in Chicago, exposed the official posturing as a lie, speaking at an event last week:

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Trump On a Roll, Headed Into Super Tuesday

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Wednesday, February 24, 2016:  

speaking at CPAC in Washington D.C. on Februar...

Donald Trump could scarcely contain himself Tuesday night: “We weren’t expected to win too much and now we’re winning, winning, winning the country. And soon the country is going to start winning, winning, winning. We won with the evangelicals. We won with the young. We won with the old. We won with the highly educated. We won with the poorly educated. I love the uneducated!”

The only demographic Trump didn’t win were those who

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Following Saturday Night’s “Thermonuclear” Debate, Trump Remains Unscathed

This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Monday, February 15, 2016:

Charles Krauthammer said he’d never seen anything like it:

If the previous Republican debates have been World War I or II, this is thermonuclear. I have not seen as many personal attacks or high temperature attacks as we saw in this debate….

 

We went here from WWE [World Wrestling Entertainment] to UFC [Ultimate Fighting Championship, or cage fighting].

 

This was a cage fight of the sort that I don’t think we have seen at the presidential level before.

Other observers were only slightly kinder. Caleb Howe, writing for RedState, said

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Health Insurers Going Broke, Thanks to ObamaCare

This article appeared online at TheNewAmerican.com on Thursday, February 10, 2016:  

English: President Barack Obama's signature on...

Obama’s signature on ObamaCare bill.

The results for 2015 are in. The losses health insurers experienced following the rollout of the so-called Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA, otherwise known as ObamaCare) in 2014 got even worse. Seventy percent of insurers lost money on individual health plans, according to McKinsey and Company, the global management consulting firm. And it isn’t likely to improve any in 2016.

On Wednesday Humana Inc. reported that

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Many of the articles on Light from the Right first appeared on either The New American or the McAlvany Intelligence Advisor.