This article was published by The McAlvany Intelligence Advisor on Friday, August 31, 2018:
The liberal-left mainstream media and the Democrat Party, which are joined at the hip, continue to believe that history is on their side, that in November the Democrats will take over control of the House. History has a way of disappointing, however, and recent polls are showing, on a “generic” basis, the Democrats’ advantage is narrowing. Last week, for example, Rasmussen Reports noted that the Democrat lead vanished for the first time since May, with 44 percent of those polled saying they would vote for the generic Democrat and 44 percent saying they would vote for the generic Republican candidate in their district.
The initial problem is that there are no “generic” candidates running. Each has his or her own style, ideology, voting record, and political platform. So how much help such polls provide in taking a peek at the midterm elections (just nine weeks away) remains dubious.
What Rasmussen has going for it is that it polls only “likely voters” and not “registered voters,” as nearly every other polling outfit considers. As Rasmussen noted on Wednesday,